What North Korea's Rocket Launch Means — And What It Doesn't
Excerpt:North Korea's successful rocket launch may conjure up visions of nuclear missiles in the hands of one of the planet's least predictable regimes. But building a satellite launch vehicle doesn't directly translate into an ability to rain warheads on distant enemies. Pyongyang still faces major obstacles before it can claim to possess reliable, nuclear-tipped intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of hitting its Asian neighborhood and much of the Pacific basin, including Alaska. By launching the three-stage Unha-3 rocket into orbit Wednesday, "the North has crossed a major threshold in terms of mating an ICBM with a nuclear weapon," Victor Cha, who holds the Korea Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, writes in a Q&A for the think tank. Cha says the Unha-3 has a range of possibly 4,000 to 6,000 kilometers.
Keywords:
North Korea ICBM nuclear warhead North Koreans International Studies stationary target liquid fuel ICBM warhead three-stage Unha-3 rocket successful rocket launch satellite launch vehicle Western United States North Korean abilities Arms Control Association North Korean leader Security Studies Program Liquid fuel rockets ICBM stage Cha useful warhead nuclear missiles ballistic missiles Victor Cha Korea Chair major obstacles nuclear weapon distant enemies Asian neighborhood Pacific basin Thielmann nuclear end major threshold nuclear device striking distance larger obstacle Jim Walsh intense heat senior fellow fuel problem Massachusetts Institute Greg Thielmann international security solid fuel warheads research associate Thielmann notes reliable mode Liquid-fueled rockets Unha-3 type technological thresholdsPeople:
Victor Cha
Overall Sentiment: 0.0207873
Relevance: 0.572259
Greg Thielmann
Overall Sentiment: 0.343463
Relevance: 0.52878
Jim Walsh
Overall Sentiment: 0.364084
Relevance: 0.463015
Sentiment | Quote |
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0.255964 | "They are not there on the nuclear end and would have to have many more tests to have enough confidence that they have a reliable mode of delivery," says Jim Walsh, ... |
-0.337193 | "They are not there on the nuclear end and would have to have many more tests to have enough confidence that they have a reliable mode of delivery," says Jim Walsh, an expert in international security and a research associate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Security Studies Program. "You need reliability. If you shoot one, you better be pretty confident it is not going to malfunction, hit your own territory and explode." |
0.0494689 | Jim Walsh, an expert in international security and a research associate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Security Studies Program. "You need reliability. If you shoot one, you better be pretty confident it is not going to malfunction, hit your own territory and explode." Thielmann agrees that producing a useful warhead is fraught with difficulty. "Based on the testing we've seen and some other assumptions about North Korean abilities, we don't think they're ready to arm an ICBM with a nuclear warhead yet even if they had an ICBM, which they don't yet." |
0.198416 | Walsh concurs: "Liquid-fueled rockets sitting on the ground for hours are seen as being vulnerable to strike." |
Sentiment Stats: |
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Kim Jong Un
Overall Sentiment: -0.171893
Relevance: 0.345739
Key:
- Aggregate Sentiment is meant to be an indicator of an individual's overall sentiment.
- The Mean is meant to be an indicator of an individual's average comment sentiment.
- The Standard Deviation, when there are enough quotes, will indicate an individual's consistency of sentiment (i.e. a Standard Deviation of 0 would mean they were very consistent in their sentiment and 1 would mean they were very inconsistent).
Note that quote stats are likely to be meaningless beyond the aggregate score due to the tiny sample size. However, they are always provided just in case you find something useful there.
Additional Info:
Organization: Center for Strategic and International Studies
Overall Sentiment: -0.228011
Relevance: 0.558055
Organization: Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Security Studies
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.362664
Organization: Arms Control Association
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.311973
FieldTerminology: intercontinental ballistic missiles
Overall Sentiment: 0.253348
Relevance: 0.425842
FieldTerminology: nuclear device
Overall Sentiment: -0.101973
Relevance: 0.41191
Country: North Korea
Overall Sentiment: 0.123564
Relevance: 0.926586
Country: United States
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.448565
Country: Korea
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.424801
City: Pyongyang
Overall Sentiment: 0
Relevance: 0.417573
StateOrCounty: Alaska
Overall Sentiment: -0.0308246
Relevance: 0.364544
StateOrCounty: Washington
Overall Sentiment: -0.251722
Relevance: 0.3088
GeographicFeature: Pacific
Overall Sentiment: -0.0999175
Relevance: 0.349568
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Source : npr.org
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